Avalanche attempt to win season series versus Stars
Hockey Betting Lines
03/14/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Colorado Avalanche will try to win their first season series with the Dallas Stars in five campaigns as the two clubs meet for the fourth and final time in the regular season this afternoon at American Airlines Center.
Colorado took its first two meetings with the Stars this year at home before dropping a 3-2 decision in Dallas on Jan. 29. The Avalanche haven't won this season series since taking three of four in 2003-04, though the clubs have split the four-game set in each of the previous two campaigns.
The Avs, who have lost two straight and seven of their last eight in Dallas, were last in action on Thursday and posted a 3-0 victory over Florida. Craig Anderson made 27 saves versus his former club and is among the league leaders with seven shutouts. He also recorded the 14th blanking of his career while making his 22nd start in a row.
One of Anderson's seven shutouts this year came at the expense of Dallas and he is 1-1-0 with a 1.52 goals-against average in two starts versus the club this year.
Paul Stastny scored twice, Mark Hendricks had the other goal and Chris Stewart posted two assists versus the Panthers for the Avalanche, who are five points behind the Canucks for first place in the Northwest standings and rebounded from Tuesday's 6-4 loss to Vancouver in which they squandered a pair of three- goal leads.
"We've bounced back well all year," said Stastny, who has two goals and eight assists over a six-game point streak. "A couple of us had a big let down and wanted to respond, so that's what we did as a team. We played a patient game and a smart game."
Stastny isn't the only Colorado player that has played well as of late. Stewart has eight goals and 10 assists in his last 10 games, while Peter Mueller has posted a pair of tallies and five helpers in five games since being acquired from Phoenix.
While the Avalanche are still trying for a division title, the Stars have lost five of six since the Winter Olympic break to fall seven points back of the eighth spot in the West.
The Stars did earn a point last time out, falling to the Kings, 2-1, in a shootout on Friday. Marty Turco made 27 saves and stopped the first five skaters he saw in the extra session before allowing Jarret Stoll to score for Los Angeles in the sixth round.
"You know we have to gain some ground here if we want to get back in the playoffs. Unfortunately you can't do that unless you win," said Turco, who is 11-9-0 with three ties and a 2.58 GAA lifetime versus the Avalanche franchise and lost his only start against them this year. He will start for Dallas today.
Brenden Morrow notched the lone goal for the Stars, who dropped the opener of a six-game homestand for their third loss in a row at American Airlines Center.
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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
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